All Cases: Drop Rates and Best Value
How each case works, the odds behind every rarity tier, and the open-versus-sell decision that protects your cash.
Overview
Cases are the primary source of new skins, and each one has its own rarity table and secret-tier odds. This guide explains how cases work, the approximate drop rates for each rarity, and how to decide whether to open or sell. It is the reference behind the secret case guide and the new skins tracker.
Opening Cases in Bulk
This spending-spree video shows what bulk case opening actually looks like, including serial numbers, mint pulls, and the long wait for a secret drop.
Case Types and Costs
Cases come in several tiers with different price points and reward pools. Knowing the type helps you judge whether a case is worth opening.
| Case Type | Cost | Reward Pool |
|---|---|---|
| Strike case | Coins | Standard skins |
| Premium case | More coins / cash | Better odds |
| Exclusive case | Robux | Premium skins |
| Secret case | Codes / rare | Secret-tier items |
| Release case | Codes | Themed skins |
Drop Rates by Rarity
Every case shares a similar rarity ladder, though exact odds vary by case type. These are the approximate rates behind each pull.
Common
Very high pull rate; mostly low-value skins you will sell or trade up.
Uncommon / Rare
Medium pull rate; the backbone of most case openings.
Legendary
Low pull rate; valuable skins that fund bigger purchases.
Mythic / Secret
Roughly 0.2% pull rate; the rarest items covered in secret items.
The Open-or-Sell Decision
Every case forces the same choice: open for the gamble or sell for guaranteed cash. Run through these four steps each time.
Check the case contents
Look at what skins the case can drop and their current market value.
Calculate expected value
Weigh the odds-weighted value of the contents against the unopened case price using the prices guide.
Decide based on your goal
Open if you want the cosmetics and accept the variance; sell for guaranteed cash.
Flip the results
If you open, sell duplicates using the money guide so nothing goes to waste.
Stacking Free Cases from Codes
Before spending coins or cash, always redeem the latest codes for free cases. Several codes have handed out free secret cases, which are among the highest-value free items you can claim.
Free cases remove the open-or-sell dilemma entirely because you spent nothing to get them, so opening is almost always correct unless the unopened case has exceptional market value.
Case Opening Mistakes
Avoid these habits that drain your currency without producing value.
- Opening exclusive cases without comparing to market prices
- Chasing the 0.2% secret as if it were guaranteed
- Selling rare low-serial pulls cheaply because you did not check values
- Skipping codes that hand out free cases
- Forgetting to flip duplicates into cash toward a target skin